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Whitman Wire

Vol. CLIV, Issue 9
Whitman news since 1896

Whitman Wire

Whitman news since 1896

Whitman Wire

Obama the failure?

There’s no doubt about it: President Obama’s first year has been rocky. In terms of tackling the large-scale reforms he was elected on: notably health care reform and climate change: Obama’s record remains sparse, especially in comparison to the remarkable optimism and expectations set forth in his campaign.

Roughly a year into his term, uncertainty looms for Obama voters. What to think of the Obama presidency thus far? Should we be angry? Content? Vaguely disillusioned?

Corporate Republicans and their Tea Party stooges: or is it now the other way around?: know where they stand. But for the rest of us, I offer a few words of advice:  Take a deep breath to recognize the progress we have seen, reject cynicism and stay focused on the big picture.

First: in order to contextualize Obama’s accomplishments: let’s acknowledge the historical “rockiness” of Democratic first years. As Hendrik Hertzberg at the New Yorker points out, with first years it’s “wise to keep one’s seat belt loosely fastened.” J.F.K went through the Bay of Pigs fiasco, Carter “gave away” the Panama Canal and Clinton dramatically botched gay rights. All three alienated Congress and failed to pass major health care reform (as has every Democrat since Harry Truman first proposed it). Only Johnson made major progress in his first year, primarily thanks to the tragic circumstances that put him in office.

Rockiness is to be expected. For his part, it appears that Obama has failed to craft a cohesive public message for his agenda (for instance, while all the parts of his health care bill remain widely popular, the bill as a whole has floundered) and focused too much on the ideal of congressional bipartisanship rather than actually passing his agenda.

So what exactly has Obama accomplished thus far, you ask? Here’s what potential cynics and second-guessers should remember:  Obama passed the largest economic recovery bill in American history and rescued the economy from the next Great Depression. Although the full impact of the crisis was not felt until months after the crash, the stimulus bill started spending within just weeks: and according to data released last month: has had incredible success:  It has added an estimated 1.8 million jobs already.

Obama passed a visionary federal budget, which has laid the groundwork for health care reform, climate change and so forth, and is considered by many the most progressive in half a century.

Obama has brought sanity to American foreign policy and changed America’s relationship with the world by rejecting the principles of neo-conservatism. Despite inheriting two blundering wars, he established: and kept: a schedule to withdraw from Iraq and ended the American policy of torture.

Obama has greatly increased federal funding for student loans, increased Pell Grants, funded stem cell research, expanded programs for children’s health care, filled the federal government with forward-thinking rather than nihilistic or anti-intellectual officials, passed a law to protect women from employment discrimination, passed a law to make it easier for workers to organize and more.

Second, despite trends towards cynicism and general disillusionment, let’s remember to stay focused on the big picture.

Here’s a tip that most D.C. pundits would rather you didn’t know: 99 percent of the theories they come up with are useless. As someone who enjoys theorizing about politics: and wouldn’t mind getting paid to do it: this is hard to admit. But the saga of American politics has never been about day-to-day analysis or month-to-month polling. In terms of who wins elections, it’s essentially only the conditions “on the ground” that matter. It’s always been about the big picture, about the well-being of the average American and passing the legislation necessary to ensure it.

Regardless of what the talking heads on Fox News or MSNBC may say: or even what the average voter tells a pollster on any given day: the record of what Americans care about is clear; they care about themselves, as they should. For the American voter, it’s not the small political fumbles that matter. It’s unemployment: barely under double-digits this month: that matters. It’s health care: with 46 million Americans still uninsured: that matters. History has shown that, especially during tough macroeconomic times, the moderate presidents who fail to fix the big stuff (see: Jimmy Carter) cannot win.

If he is to succeed, Obama will need our active support to pass his major agenda items. Obama has admirably stepped up and gone “all in”: this Monday he called for campaign-style telethons and door-knocking to raise support for health care reform. No, the bill’s not perfect. But it is much, much better than the status quo (it will expand insurance to 31 million Americans, dramatically lower costs, regulate “pre-existing conditions” and more) and many credibly contend that any future ambitions for the Obama’s presidency rests upon its passage.

Above all, now is the time to avoid cynicism. Cynicism is: and has always been: the easy way out, whether you’re too tired or too lazy to continue the push for reform.

Obama’s second year is shaping up to be more combative and potentially much more productive. We can’t wait for the next Obama to fix the urgent problems our nation faces. Now is the time for progressives to gear up for the long haul, focus on passing the “big stuff” and avoid letting the perfect: or really good: get in the way of the way better.

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  • R

    RussMar 17, 2010 at 1:38 am

    Royce,

    Thanks for the comment: it’s good to know that people outside of Whitman see these. I’m happy to address you arguments, but first a note: I wrote this article from a certain starting point. Since most of my classmates are either politically left or don’t follow the issues, I’m trying to put in perspective what I see as many liberals’ unproductive anger at Obama at only a year in (rather than anger the process: my last article was about the undemocratic nature of the filibuster, feel free to check it out). That said, your points:

    1. Re: stimulus lies. Obama never promised unemployment wouldn’t pass 8%.

    Source of the rumor here: http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2009/jul/09/eric-cantor/Cantor-and-other-republicans-say-obama-promised-s/

    2. Re: stimulus corruption: You can track every stimulus dollar here: http://www.recovery.gov/Pages/home.aspx

    How I see it: when consumers and businesses stop spending, unemployment goes up as bottom lines go down. The point of the stimulus was to spur a recovery with the goals being to save jobs, create jobs, and set things up for future jobs. When interest rates are basically zero, monetary policy won’t work so you pass a stimulus. It’s the basic premise of Keynesian economics.

    Yes, it does grow the deficit in the short term, but perspective: 4x as much money was lost in lower taxes collected in 2008 (b/c of lowered incomes, bottom lines) than Obama spent on recovery. Bush’s tax cuts will have increased the deficit by 1.7 trillion by roughly 2010 without any credible signs of “trickle-down” to be found. Bush spent more on Iraq (current est. cost: $2 trillion, original cost Bush Admin put it at $100-200 billion) than the stimulus. The stimulus has created almost 2 million jobs, and I’d be interested to see any credible economists (even right-wing ones) who say it’s failed at it’s intended task. Also: measures show the current health care package will lower the deficit over the next two decades as our costs are lowered–that’s one of the major goals. While I’m worried about the future freedom of any potential kids or grandkids I have, it’s certainly not because of the stimulus package or health care reform bill.

    Sources:
    http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2009/jun/24/paul-krugman/bush-tax-cuts-health-care-probably/
    http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2010/feb/01/barack-obama/health-care-reform-estimates-deficit-reduction-are/

    3. Re: the current bill is a government takeover of health care: No, it’s not.

    Source: http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2008/jan/06/mitt-romney/obama-plan-not-a-takeover/

    We rank 36th worldwide in health care quality. We spend the most highest percent of our GDP on it. You say everyone knows government = fraud and bureaucracy? Everyone loves Medicare. This basically translated to more Medicare. Only a handful of House Republicans have even suggested it should be cut. In fact, they argue against the bill b/c they say Obama is threatening Medicare. Do you want to cut Medicare? I wish those who think the sky is falling because of the deficit–from Republicans to Tea Partiers–would be clearer about this, but if they we’re I think their polls must be showing them they’d lose.

    That’s all the time I can take to respond now. Thanks for posting, appreciated!

    -Russ

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  • R

    royceMar 13, 2010 at 8:31 am

    Russ,

    Let’s forget about all of the broken promises about lobbyists, transparency, bi-partisanship, gitmo and more. The stimulus bill was passed under the falsehood that not passing it would put us in the next depression and with the promise that unemployment would not go beyond 8%. Not to mention the campaign promise that Obama “would go through every bill line by line and eliminate any pork barrel projects. Take the time to go through the bill and see how many pork barrel projects are in it. This bill did absolutely nothing to stimulate the economy and unemployment is at 10% and growing.

    Healthcare reform needs to be done as soon as possible but do you really believe that the government can take over healthcare and save money. Get real, everything the government does turns into a vast bureaucracy of waste, fraud and incompetence. If you are a a politics major, learn to look at things as they really are and not with your left wing ideology. I know how liberals are often confused and angered when confronted with facts but it would help you to wake up and stop drinking the kool aid.

    By the way, I happen to be a Tea Party “stooge” and if caring about my country, cherishing my freedoms and wanting my children to grow up without the tremendous financial burden being put on them by this administration then I am proud to be a stooge.

    Wake up, this is going down as the worst administration in history and it’s only been one year.

    Reply